Armed Conflicts

Think Tanks

7 days

Summary

sources
130
Narrative Items
591
Bottom Line Up Front

130 sources in Think Tanks are amplifying 591 narrative items relating to the narrative of geopolitical tensions and military actions. These narratives connect themes of accountability, the impact of military strategies on civilian populations, and the complexities of international law, highlighting the consequences of state actions and the need for legal clarity in conflict situations.

Reviewing a number of the most relevant narrative items indicates that media sources are characterizing these events with diverse tones and perspectives that cater to specific audiences. Human Rights Watch's portrayal of the attack on the Guanyin statue construction site is marked by a negative light, using emotionally charged language to condemn the violence and highlight the Thai government's inaction, advocating for accountability and human rights. Conversely, the Gatestone Institute adopts a critical tone regarding UNRWA, employing loaded terminology to label employees as terrorists and suggest the organization's complicity in promoting violence against Israel, reflecting a clear anti-UN bias. When analyzing President-elect Trump's intentions, the Brookings Institute provides a neutral narrative, emphasizing legal constraints while discussing the concerns associated with potential military deployments, which may resonate with readers interested in constitutional law. In contrast, the Hoover Institution offers a more analytical perspective on troop deployments, focusing on trends rather than controversial implications. The Jamestown Foundation presents a dark portrayal of Russia's militarization efforts, using hyperbolic imagery to connect the glorification of Cossack history with future violence, while the Atlantic Council stresses the resilience of Ukraine against ongoing aggression, maintaining a sympathetic lens towards their struggle. Lastly, International Institute for Strategic Studies and Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative provide a more technical analysis of military developments, focusing on capability and strategic partnerships without strong advocacy or bias, appealing to audiences concerned with defense and global security. These contrasting portrayals reflect the distinct missions and biases of the outlets, shaping the narratives that shape public perception of these global events.

About This Module

The Think Tanks module tracks a large number of policy institutes, research organizations, and advocacy groups from a wide range of areas such as economics, social issues, military, and science and technology.

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Geospatial

This map shows narrative amplification activity by sources in this module. Red indicates origin, yellow is destination.
Origin
Destination
The narrative initially emerged from Paris, headed for Brussels. As it spread, the most frequent origin shifted to Washington, and the most frequent destination shifted to Washington. There are a total of 17 points of origin, and 52 destinations. Hide details...
21 Nov 2024: Paris ▸ Brussels
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Moscow
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ The Hague
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Beijing
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Haifa
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Brasília
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Buenos Aires
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Kyiv
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Washington
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Phnom Penh
21 Nov 2024: Manhattan ▸ Canada
21 Nov 2024: Berlin ▸ Berlin
21 Nov 2024: Weehawken ▸ Kampala
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Kampala
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Chiang Mai
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Beirut
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Riyadh
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ America
21 Nov 2024: Ottawa ▸ Quebec City
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Berlin
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Raleigh
21 Nov 2024: Manhattan ▸ Luanda
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ New Haven
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Tehran
21 Nov 2024: Zürich ▸ Dubai
21 Nov 2024: Zürich ▸ Washington
21 Nov 2024: Weehawken ▸ Congo
21 Nov 2024: Manhattan ▸ Beijing
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Lima
21 Nov 2024: Chicago ▸ Washington
21 Nov 2024: Canberra ▸ Canberra
21 Nov 2024: Sydney ▸ Germany
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Dnipro
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Jerusalem
21 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Rome
21 Nov 2024: Weehawken ▸ Washington
21 Nov 2024: Walnut Creek ▸ Syracuse
21 Nov 2024: Canberra ▸ Kyiv
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Dnipro
22 Nov 2024: Canberra ▸ Canberra
22 Nov 2024: Sydney ▸ Suva
22 Nov 2024: Sydney ▸ Perth
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Manila
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Beijing
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Changsha
22 Nov 2024: Canberra ▸ Jakarta
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Vientiane
22 Nov 2024: East Los Angeles ▸ Helena
22 Nov 2024: Delhi ▸ Berlin
22 Nov 2024: Berlin ▸ Berlin
22 Nov 2024: Manhattan ▸ New Harmony
22 Nov 2024: Troy ▸ Baghdad
22 Nov 2024: Delhi ▸ New Delhi
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Moscow
22 Nov 2024: Rome ▸ Baku
22 Nov 2024: London ▸ Berlin
22 Nov 2024: Troy ▸ Lebanon
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Bamako
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Sanaa
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Washington
22 Nov 2024: Weehawken ▸ Harare
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ New York
22 Nov 2024: Berlin ▸ Rome
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Bucharest
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Brandenburg
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Kyiv
22 Nov 2024: Vancouver ▸ Baku
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ New Delhi
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Taipei
22 Nov 2024: Ottawa ▸ Ottawa
22 Nov 2024: Washington ▸ Arlington

Sources

Sources by Type
Sources of these types represent most of the amplification activity around this narrative
sources by Volume
These sources are amplifying the most items involved in this narrative. Click to see details of each source's narrative activity.
Top sources
Day-by-day volumetric activity of sources amplifying the most items around this narrative
Center for Strategic & International Studies
6% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
Atlantic Council
5% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
The Jamestown Foundation
5% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
Center for European Policy Analysis
5% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
Human Rights Watch
3% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
Stimson Center
3% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
Hoover Institution
3% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
Australian Strategic Policy Institute
3% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative
3% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
Lowy Institute for International Policy
3% of the items in this brief were amplified by this source.
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Top Items

These narrative items are the most relevant and/or the most amplified. Click to see details and suggested messages.
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Themes

Tap or click for details
These adjacent themes are currently being amplified along with the main narrative. Click to see details of narrative activity related to each one.
US missile systems in Ukraine
Recent satellite imagery indicates that numerous Russian military facilities are vulnerable to Ukraine's US-supplied missile systems, despite restrictions on their use against targets in Russia.
Russia's ultimatum to end war in Ukraine
President Putin sets maximalist conditions for ending war in Ukraine, including dropping NATO ambitions and handing over provinces, demands swiftly rejected by Kyiv.
Emphasizing collaboration in defense policy
The report calls for a shift in US policy to embrace and enhance defense cooperation with the EU, recognizing the importance of European defense capabilities.
Strengthening Influence in South China Sea
China's aggressive actions in the South China Sea prompt Philippines to defend sovereignty through partnerships.
Pyongyang's Bad Behavior
The ATA notes North Korea's coercive actions to counter security cooperation, driven by frustration in its nuclear program's failure to achieve dominance on the Korean Peninsula.
Iran's cautious approach in the conflict
Iran is hesitant to involve itself in the conflict to avoid direct confrontation with the US and maintain fragile peace with Saudi Arabia, focusing on modulating the threshold and preventing major escalation.
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Entities

Tap or click for details
These entities are mentioned most frequently in the narratives highlighted in this brief. Click to see details of narrative activity related to each one.
Events
Attack on Guanyin statue construction site
A separatist insurgent attack in southern Thailand on November 20, 2024.
October 2023 attacks
Attacks in Israel linked to Hamas.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine
Ongoing conflict that has lasted over 1000 days.
Zhuhai Airshow
Event where China's J-35 stealth fighter was showcased.
Joint naval exercises
Military exercises between Indonesia and Russia.
Maritime drones in naval warfare
Emerging technology used by Ukraine in the conflict.
People
President-elect Trump
Former President of the United States, known for his controversial statements regarding military use.
Putin
President of Russia, involved in the Ukraine conflict.
Cossack populations
Ethnic group in Russia, significantly affected by the war in Ukraine.
Human Rights Watch
International organization focused on human rights advocacy.
Israeli intelligence
Intelligence agency of Israel, involved in uncovering Hamas connections.
UNRWA employees
Employees of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency, some identified as Hamas terrorists.
Technologies
Maritime drones
Unmanned vehicles used in naval warfare, with ambiguous legal status.
Stealth fighter technology
Advanced military aircraft technology used in J-35 and F-35.
Military-technical cooperation
Collaboration between countries for military equipment and training.
Organizations
Human Rights Watch
Advocacy organization focused on human rights.
Orthodox Church
Religious institution leveraged by the Russian government for propaganda.
International community
Global entities involved in responding to conflicts and humanitarian issues.
Companies
UNRWA
United Nations agency providing assistance to Palestinian refugees.
J-35
China's new stealth fighter jet.
F-35
American stealth fighter jet, compared to China's J-35.
Events
Attack on Guanyin statue construction site
A separatist insurgent attack in southern Thailand on November 20, 2024.
October 2023 attacks
Attacks in Israel linked to Hamas.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine
Ongoing conflict that has lasted over 1000 days.
Zhuhai Airshow
Event where China's J-35 stealth fighter was showcased.
Joint naval exercises
Military exercises between Indonesia and Russia.
Maritime drones in naval warfare
Emerging technology used by Ukraine in the conflict.
People
President-elect Trump
Former President of the United States, known for his controversial statements regarding military use.
Putin
President of Russia, involved in the Ukraine conflict.
Cossack populations
Ethnic group in Russia, significantly affected by the war in Ukraine.
Human Rights Watch
International organization focused on human rights advocacy.
Israeli intelligence
Intelligence agency of Israel, involved in uncovering Hamas connections.
UNRWA employees
Employees of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency, some identified as Hamas terrorists.
Technologies
Maritime drones
Unmanned vehicles used in naval warfare, with ambiguous legal status.
Stealth fighter technology
Advanced military aircraft technology used in J-35 and F-35.
Military-technical cooperation
Collaboration between countries for military equipment and training.
Organizations
Human Rights Watch
Advocacy organization focused on human rights.
Orthodox Church
Religious institution leveraged by the Russian government for propaganda.
International community
Global entities involved in responding to conflicts and humanitarian issues.
Companies
UNRWA
United Nations agency providing assistance to Palestinian refugees.
J-35
China's new stealth fighter jet.
F-35
American stealth fighter jet, compared to China's J-35.

Context

The issues highlighted in the summary reflect a complex interplay of demographics, social, economic, political, and military considerations across various regions. In southern Thailand, the separatist insurgency is fueled by ethnic and religious tensions, particularly among the Malay Muslim population, which feels marginalized by the predominantly Buddhist state. The attack on a non-Islamic religious site underscores the fragile social fabric and the ongoing struggle for autonomy and recognition.

In Gaza, the infiltration of Hamas operatives within UNRWA raises significant concerns about the politicization of humanitarian aid and the impact on Israeli-Palestinian relations. The glorification of violence in educational materials exacerbates tensions and complicates peace efforts, while the international community's slow response to these revelations raises questions about accountability and complicity.

In the United States, the potential for domestic military deployment by the president poses legal and ethical dilemmas, particularly in light of historical abuses of power. The Posse Comitatus Act serves as a safeguard, but the political climate may challenge these constraints.

Russia's war in Ukraine has resulted in heavy casualties, particularly among Cossack populations, leading to a militarized society that romanticizes its past. This narrative, supported by the Orthodox Church, fosters nationalism and complicates peace prospects, as the Kremlin seeks to maintain morale amid ongoing conflict.

The global military landscape is also shifting, with countries like Indonesia seeking closer ties with Russia for military support, while China's advancements in stealth technology challenge U.S. dominance. The ambiguity surrounding maritime drones in warfare further complicates international security, highlighting the need for clearer legal frameworks to address emerging threats. Overall, these issues reflect the intricate dynamics of national security, international relations, and the quest for stability in a rapidly changing world.
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World Events
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